《反恐战争:新美国的天定命运

Nouha Khelfa
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摘要

大量文献已经得出结论,自2001年911事件后,随着ISIS的崛起,布什主义开始实施以来,中东和欧洲的伊斯兰恐怖主义活动急剧增加。然而,人们对911后美国外交政策与新恐怖组织,特别是伊拉克伊斯兰国的崛起之间的因果机制知之甚少。因此,本研究的重点是对这一机制进行加工追踪。它还将解释为什么反恐战争产生了与最初预期完全相反的结果。最后,本研究是个案分析,可能是对美国帝国在中东行为的微观观察。本研究依赖于解释结果过程追踪方法,并采用口述和历史叙述、档案和统计数据。我认为反恐战争,确切地说是布什总统任期(2001-2009),是历史上帝国主义行为的延续,这种行为启发了美国的外交政策。我将只关注两个主要政策:2001年入侵阿富汗和2003年入侵伊拉克,因为入侵是帝国主义最具体的表现。结果表明,入侵伊拉克导致了伊斯兰国赖以生存的宗派主义,而入侵阿富汗导致了圣战分子在地理上的扩张。他们一起融合,导致基地组织变异成一个更复杂的伊斯兰恐怖组织(IS)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The War on Terror: The Neo-American Manifest Destiny
Significant literature has concluded that Islamic-terrorist activity in the Middle East and in Europe had increased drastically since the beginning of the implementation of the Bush Doctrine in 2001 after 9/11, with the rise of ISIS. However, little is known about the causal mechanism that links between the Post-9/11 U.S. foreign policy and the rise of new terrorist organizations, particularly the Islamic State in Iraq. Hence, the focus of this study is to process trace such mechanism. It will also explain why the War on Terror has produced totally opposite results from those it was originally intended for. Finally, this study is a within-case analysis that might be a microscopic observation of the imperial American behavior in the Middle East. This study relies on explaining outcome process-tracing methodology, and employing oral and historical accounts, archives and statistical data. I argue that the War on Terror, precisely the period of the Bush’s presidency (2001-2009), to be the continuity of the historical imperial behavior that inspires the U.S. foreign policy. I will only focus on two main policies: the Invasion of Afghanistan in 2001 and the Invasion of Iraq in 2003 because invasion is the most concrete manifestation of imperialism. The result shows that the invasion of Iraq led to sectarianism that IS feeds on, and that the invasion of Afghanistan led to the geographical expansion of Jihadists. Together they fused to cause the mutation of Al-Qaeda into a more complex Islamic-inspired terrorist organization (IS).
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