东亚货币一体化:为什么需要这么长时间?

M. Krawczyk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

欧洲经济和货币联盟的启动,以及1997年的金融危机突显出当前汇率制度的弊端,引发了人们对在东亚建立类似货币统一项目可行性的质疑。作为世界上增长最活跃的地区之一,东亚有可能成功实施货币联盟。本文探讨了为什么尽管货币一体化问题在政治上得到了很大的重视,但迄今为止的进展却比预期的要慢。主要的发现是,尽管从长远来看东亚实际上可能从建立其货币联盟中受益,但该地区普遍存在的特定政治文化以及对该进程顺序的误解阻碍了东亚货币联盟的实现。接下来是可能的短期和中期政策解决方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Monetary Integration in East Asia: Why Does it Take so Long?
The launch of the economic and monetary union in Europe and the 1997 fi nancial crisis that underscored the disadvantages of currently employed exchange rate regimes raised questions about the feasibility of a similar monetary unifi cation project for East Asia. Being one of the most dynamically growing regions in the world, East Asia has the potential for a successful implementation of a monetary union. The paper examines why, despite substantial political emphasis being placed on the issue of monetary integration, the progress to date has been slower than could be expected. The major fi nding is that, although East Asia may actually benefi t from establishing its monetary union in the long run, a specifi c political culture that prevails in the region and misconceptions about the sequencing of the process prevent the East Asian monetary union from materialising. Possible short and mid-term policy solutions follow.
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