低碳发展和共同规划减缓行动以实现可持续发展目标,茂物案例

Lu Sun, K. Gomi, Tsuyoshi Fujita, M. Fujii, Seiya Maki, Immanuel Gito, Boer Rizaldi
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摘要

城市和人类住区将是实现全球可持续发展目标的关键。所有城市的目标都是促进繁荣、增强韧性和环境可持续性,尤其是在发展中国家。而如何推动低碳城市转型,实现可持续发展目标则是新出现的挑战。很少有研究者考虑实现可持续发展目标的综合对策与行动和情景设计交互过程的耦合效应。为填补这一研究空白,本研究(1)建立了一个综合的ExSS模型,分析和预测了不同部门对低碳发展贡献的不同对策。(2)通过实地调查和与当地利益相关者的对话,找出城市发展中的挑战和问题。(3)在考虑跨行业的情况下,评估可持续发展目标未来城市发展情景和减缓行动。选取茂物市为案例,运用综合模型进行系统分析。结果表明,在2030CM情景下,商业建筑和住宅建筑的能效提升是减排的主要贡献者。减缓行动的减排量分别占总减排量的38.1%和18.2%。能源供应部门、交通运输部门和废物管理部门也做出了重大贡献,减排金额分别占2030CM情景总减排金额的23.5%、4.1%和3.9%。结果和对策的介绍,作为需要积极解决城市挑战的基础,突出了实现四个关键可持续发展目标的有效途径。该研究不仅有助于地方政府转向环境更可持续、经济更成功的发展道路,而且从共同规划的角度为全面缓解气候变化的解决方案提供了灵感。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
LOW CARBON DEVELOPMENT AND CO-PLANNING MITIGATION ACTIONS TO ACHIEVE THE SDGs, A CASE OF BOGOR
Cities and human settlements will be the keys to achieving global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). All cities aim to increase prosperity, enhance resilience and environmental sustainability, especially in developing countries. While how to promote the low carbon city transition and achieve the SDGs targets are the emerging challenges. Few researchers have considered the coupling effect of comprehensive countermeasures to achieve the SDGs targets and the interactive process of actions and scenarios design. To fill in the research gaps, this study (1) Develop an integrated ExSS model, to analyze and predicate the different countermeasures of different sectors' contributions to the low carbon development. (2) Identify challenges and problems in the city development based on the field survey and dialogues with local stakeholders. (3) Evaluate SDGs future city development scenarios and mitigation actions with considering cross-industrial sectors. Bogor city is selected as a case, then applied the integrated model to conduct a systematic analysis. The results showed that, the energy efficiency improvement in the commercial and residential buildings are the main contributors to emission reduction of the 2030CM scenario. The emission reduction amounts by the mitigation actions accounts for 38.1% and 18.2% of the total emission reduction amount, respectively. The energy supply sector, transport sector, and the waste management sector also make significant contributions, the emission reduction amount accounts for 23.5%, 4.1%, and 3.9% of the total emission reduction amount of 2030CM scenario, respectively. The results and countermeasures are introduced as a basis for the need to actively solve the challenges in the city, highlighting the effective ways of achieving four key SDGs. This study not only helps the local government shift to more environmentally sustainable and economically successful development pathways but also provides inspiration for comprehensive climate change mitigation solutions from the co-planning perspective.
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