AP伏伊伏丁那省大型农业综合企业破产预测模型

D. Milić, Dragana Tekić, V. Zekić, T. Novaković, Milana Popov, Zlata Mihajlov
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文的目的是介绍用于预测AP伏伊伏丁那省大型农业和食品公司破产的不同方法的应用,以及确定哪个模型最适合分析观察部门的公司。本文采用了Altman的Z′-score模型、Kralicek DF指标和Kralicek Quick检验三种模型。该分析包括2015年至2019年期间在AP伏伊伏丁那地区经营的农业部门的五家公司和食品部门的五家公司。基于应用模型的研究结果表明,对观察公司的财务稳定性可以得出不同的结论。Altman的Z′-score模型对破产风险的预测最为严谨,而Kralicek DF指标和Quick检验的结果较为相似。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bankruptcy prediction models for large agribusiness companies in AP Vojvodina
The aim of this paper is to present application of different methods used for predicting bankruptcy of large agricultural and food companies in AP Vojvodina, as well as to determine which model is the most suitable for analyzing the companies from the observed sectors. The following three models were applied in the paper: Altman's Z'-score model, Kralicek DF indicators and Kralicek Quick test. The analysis included five companies from the agricultural sector and five companies from the food sector operating on the territory of AP Vojvodina in the period from 2015 to 2019. The results of the research based on the applied models showed that different conclusions can be made about the financial stability of the observed companies. Altman's Z'-score model provided the most rigorous forecast in terms of the bankruptcy risk, while the results of Kralicek DF indicators and Quick test are relatively similar.
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