机构质量和信息可得性对部分中东和北非国家资本流入波动的影响

Ola Al Sayed, N. S. Omar, Abdelmoneam Khaled
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摘要

本文旨在探讨中东北非(MENA)地区资本流入波动的主要特征。报告还考察了1996年至2017年期间某些中东和北非国家(巴林、埃及、以色列、约旦、科威特、利比亚、摩洛哥、阿曼、沙特阿拉伯和突尼斯)的制度质量和信息可用性对资本流入波动的影响。本研究的评估基于国际国家风险指南(ICRG)和全球化指数。它还采用了国际货币基金组织(imf)发布的最新国际收支指标数据集。此外,本文采用随机效应模型的计量面板模型,采用Driscoll-Kraay稳健标准误差,分析了资本流入波动性、制度质量和信息可获得性之间的关系。研究发现:在中东和北非地区,制度质量和信息可获得性与总资本流入波动呈反比关系。然而,在资本流入总额的不同组成部分中,结果有所不同。例如,随着这两个因素的改善,外国直接投资(FDI)的波动性和总资本流动一样下降。然而,外国证券投资的波动性与机构质量呈负相关,而与信息可得性无显著关系。而外国其他投资的波动性(FOI)随着信息的可获得性而降低,但与制度质量没有任何显著关系。原创性/价值本文扩展了有限的文献关于资本流入波动的决定因素。此外,这是第一个调查机构质量和信息可用性对中东和北非地区资本流入波动性影响的研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of institutions' quality and information availability on capital inflows volatility in selected MENA countries
PurposeThis paper aims to discuss the main characteristics of the Middle East North Africa (MENA) region's capital inflows volatility. It also examines the effect of institutional quality and information availability on capital inflows volatility in selected MENA countries (Bahrain, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia and Tunisia) in the period 1996–2017.Design/methodology/approachThe study's assessments are based on the International Country Risk Guide (ICRG) and globalization indices. It also employs an updated data set of balance of payments indicators released by the International Monetary Fund. Moreover, the study uses econometric panel modeling of random effect model, with Driscoll-Kraay robust standard error, to analyze the relationship between capital inflows volatility, institutional quality and information availability.FindingsThe paper finds that both institutional quality and information availability are in an inverse relationship with the total capital inflows volatility in the MENA region. However, the findings vary across the different components of total capital inflows. For example, the volatility of foreign direct investment (FDI) declines, like total capital flows, as the two factors improve. However, the volatility of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) is negatively related to institutional quality but does not have any significant relationship with information availability. While the volatility of foreign other investments (FOI) decreases with the availability of information, but does not have any significant relationship with institutional quality.Originality/valueThis paper expands the limited literature regarding the determinants of capital inflows volatility. Furthermore, it is the first study that investigates the effect of institutional quality and information availability on capital inflows volatility in the MENA region.
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