原罪与利差平价偏差

Huanhuan Zheng
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引用次数: 2

摘要

外国持有的新兴市场主权债务从外币(FC)转向本币(LC),尤其是在全球金融危机之后。我们发现,这种原sin的耗散扩大了新兴市场与覆盖利率平价(CIP)的偏差,因为FC债务在将全球金融周期传递给新兴市场方面比LC债务更重要。我们进一步提供的证据表明,FC债务在减少CIP偏差方面更有效,因为它绕过了资本管制,规避了高通胀、弱制度和信息不对称,并增强了价格发现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Original Sin and Deviations from Covered Interest Parity
Foreign holdings of sovereign debt in emerging markets (EMs) shift from foreign currency (FC) to local currency (LC), especially after the global financial crisis. We show that such a dissipation of original sin enlarges deviations from covered interest rate parity (CIP) in EMs, as FC debt is more important in transmitting global financial cycles to EMs than LC debt. We further provide evidence that FC debt is more efficient in tapering CIP deviations because it bypasses capital controls, circumvents high inflation, weak institution and asymmetric information, and enhances price discovery.
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