基于系统动力学的雅加达地区交通服务(MaaS)现象对环境和经济的影响分析

A. Hidayatno, Irvanu Rahman, Salsabila Putri Styaningrum
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引用次数: 1

摘要

交通即服务(MaaS)现象凸显了雅加达城市交通模式转变之外的重大影响。这种不断变化的交通行为正在影响城市的经济和环境,因为它产生了更多的经济活动,但同时也产生了更多的汽车排放。评估这种新型交通模式的影响至关重要,特别是它是否支持或限制了市政府的目标,即到2030年将排放量减少30%,并将平均经济增长率保持在7%。在本文中,我们使用系统动力学建模,重点分析了在线摩托车出租车在驱动各种按需服务(如叫车和基本交付)方面对雅加达排放水平的贡献。分析进一步评估了其在三种不同交通模式情景下对经济和环境指标的先进影响:公共-在线交通协作、在线交通荣耀和豪华范式。结果表明,在线摩托车出租车的能耗值最低,并且由于此时发生在DKI雅加达的污染影响而造成经济损失。因此,为了实现政府在2030年的目标,需要进行干预,一种有效的努力是通过限制司机数量的增长和提高在线摩的每公里收费来限制摩的在线使用
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact Analysis of Mobility as A Service (MaaS) Phenomenon on Environmental and Economic Aspects in Jakarta Region using System Dynamics Approach
Mobility as a Service (MaaS) phenomena highlight significant impacts beyond shifting urban mobility patterns in Jakarta. This changing transport behavior is affecting city's economy and environment in terms of producing more economic movements, but at the same time generating more vehicular emissions. Assessing the impacts of this new mobility paradigm is critical, particularly whether it supports or limits city's government targets on reducing emission by 30% and maintaining average economic growth at 7% by 2030. In this paper, we focus our impact analysis on the contribution of online motorcycle taxis in driving various on-demand services such as ride-hailing and essential deliveries towards emission level in Jakarta using system dynamics modelling. The analyses further assess its advanced implications on economic and environmental indicators under three different shares of transport mode scenarios: Public-Online Transport Collaboration, Online Transport Glory, and Luxury Paradigm. The result shows that online motorbike taxi had the lowest energy consumption value and there were economic losses due to the impact of pollution that occurred in DKI Jakarta at this time. Therefore, there needs to be an intervention to achieve the government's target in 2030, one effective effort is by limiting the online use of motorcycle taxis by limiting the growth in the number of drivers and increasing tariffs per kilometer for online motorcycle taxis
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