Plug-in-vehicle mobility and charging flexibility Markov model based on driving behavior

Climate targets around the globe are enforcing new strategies for reducing climate impacts, which encourage automobile and electricity companies to consider an electrified vehicle market. Furthermore, the variable electricity production in the electric power system is increasing, with higher levels of wind and solar power. Due to the increased variability in the system, the need to meet fluctuations with flexible consumption is intensified. Electric vehicles with rechargeable batteries seem to become an increasingly common feature in the car fleet. Plugin vehicles (PIVs), may therefore become valuable as flexible consumers. If so, flexible PIV owners could, if they are flexible enough, increase the value of owning an electric vehicle. This paper introduces a new PIV Mobility and Charging Flexibility Markov Model, based on driving behavior for private cars. By using the new model, it is possible to simulate the potential flexibility in a future system with many PIVs. The results from a case study indicate a potential need for usage of the batteries as flexible loads to reduce the grid power fluctuations and load peaks.