Esra KARAPINAR KOCAĞ
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摘要

根据联合国的数据,到2020年,世界上30%以上的人口经历了中度或严重的粮食安全问题,可持续发展目标2明确要求到2030年消除饥饿。由于气候变化造成的环境恶化和持续不断的冲突对这一局势的影响加倍,处于严重粮食不安全地区的阿富汗变得尤为突出。本文利用联合国粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)提供的粮食不安全体验量表(FIES-2018)数据,通过probit模型,以998人为样本,提供了个人对食物充足担忧的决定因素的证据。研究结果显示,拥有大学学位大大降低了担心食物不足的可能性。此外,生活在农村地区会增加这种可能性,而收入较高的五分之一家庭中多一个成年人则会降低这种可能性。这项研究的经验证据表明了一些政策含义。教育应该在社会上普及;提高农村生产技术,提高生产水平,节约环境。这些努力可能会提高工资水平,从而有助于增加家庭收入,缓解粮食不安全问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Gıda Güvensizliği Hakkında Bireysel Kaygılar: Afganistan Örneği
According to the UN, more than 30 per cent of the world’s population experienced food in security moderately or severely in 2020 and Sustainable Development Goal 2 clearly claims to end hunger by 2030. Afghanistan within those regions with severe food insecurity has become prominent as both environmental deterioration due to climate change and ongoing conflict affect this situation twice as much. Using Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES-2018) data that is provided by Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), this paper provides evidence on the determinants of individual worry on having enough food with a sample of 998 individuals through a probit model. Findings reveal that having a college degree significantly reduces the probability of being worried not to have enough food. Further, living in a rural area increases this probability, while being in a richer income quintile and having one more adults in the household decreases it. Empirical evidence of this research suggest a few policy implications. Education should be generalised in the society; and production techniques in the rural areas should be improved to increase the level of production and to save the environment. These efforts might increase the wage level that would help increasing household income to alleviate food insecurity.
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