用混合系统动力学和基于主体的建模方法预测和改进劳动生产率

M. Khanzadi, F. Nasirzadeh, Mostafa Mir, Pouya Nojedehi
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引用次数: 20

摘要

本文的目的是提出一种混合模拟方法来预测劳动生产率的价值,同时考虑各种连续的影响因素和项目中不同主体之间的相互作用。使用系统动力学(SD)模拟影响劳动生产率的各种连续因素。项目中涉及的不同代理的异质性及其相互作用是使用基于代理的建模(ABM)来考虑的。最后,将所建立的ABM模型和SD模型结合起来,模拟出考虑所有影响因素的劳动生产率值。结果提出的混合仿真工具在实际项目中实施,以评估其性能。考虑到各种影响因素,对劳动生产率的价值进行了模拟。然后使用开发的混合SD-ABM方法选择最合适的执行策略,以提高生产率。研究表明,工作组的数量及其运动模式会影响工作组干扰的严重程度,进而影响劳动生产率的价值。本研究有助于项目管理者在考虑所有影响因素的情况下预测和提高劳动生产率的价值。本文提出的混合SD-ABM仿真方法通过SD和ABM的结合,考虑了各种连续影响因素的影响以及不同主体之间的相互作用,为劳动生产率建模提供了一种新颖而稳健的工具。建筑项目中面临的许多复杂问题涉及不同性质的相互作用因素,将可持续发展与ABM的思想相结合,可以结合两种方法的优势来解决问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction and improvement of labor productivity using hybrid system dynamics and agent-based modeling approach
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to present a hybrid simulation approach for predicting the value of labor productivity taking account of various continuous influencing factors and the interactions between different agents involved in the project. Design/methodology/approach The various continuous factors affecting labor productivity are simulated using system dynamics (SD). The heterogeneity of different agents involved in the project and their interactions is accounted using agent-based modelling (ABM). The developed ABM and SD models are finally integrated to simulate the value of labor productivity taking account of all the influencing factors. Findings The proposed hybrid simulation tool is implemented in a real project to evaluate its perfomance. The value of labor productivity is simulated by taking account of all the influencing factors. The most appropriate execution strategy is then selected using the developed hybrid SD-ABM approach to improve productivity. It is shown that the number of working groups and their movement patterns affect the severity of the groups’ interferences which will in turn affect the value of labor productivity. Practical implications This research helps project managers to predict and improve the value of labor productivity taking account of all the influencing factors. Originality/value It is believed that the proposed hybrid SD-ABM simulation approach offers a novel and robust tool for modeling labor productivity because the effects of various continuous influencing factors and the interactions between different agents are taken into account through the combination of SD and ABM. Many complex problems faced in construction projects involve interacting elements of a different nature, and the integration of SD with ideas from ABM offers potential to combine the strengths of the two methodologies to solve the problem.
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