赤字融资与经济增长:来自撒哈拉以南非洲国家的证据

Omiete Victoria Olulu- Briggs, Samson Kirina Timise
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摘要

鉴于对预算赤字融资的争议越来越大,本研究调查了撒哈拉以南非洲国家赤字融资的含义以及它如何影响其增长率。具体来说,它研究了国内债务、外债、外部储备和预算赤字如何影响实际国内生产总值(RGDP)。本研究利用了撒哈拉以南地区各中央银行统计数据库中的面板数据和世界银行1986 - 2021年期间的发展指标;因此,总观测值为144。Hausman统计将面板固定效应回归技术作为最合适的分析方法,在5%显著水平下显示短期关系。从研究结果来看,外汇储备和国内债务对国内生产总值都是正的和显著的;外债为负,与国内生产总值(gdp)之比微不足道;而预算赤字对国内生产总值(gdp)的影响为负且微不足道。总之,赤字融资影响了大多数撒哈拉以南非洲经济体的增长率。该研究除其他外建议,撒哈拉以南国家的财政和货币机构应保持最佳的国内债务水平,因为这是经济增长的机制之一。此外,是执行经济政策,以帮助增加外汇储备。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deficit financing and Economic Growth: Evidence from Sub-Sahara African Countries
In view of the growing controversy on financing of budget deficits, this study investigates the implications of deficit financing in the Sub-Sahara African countries and how it has impacted on their growth rate. Specifically, it looked at how domestic debt, external debt, external reserves, and budget deficit affects real gross domestic product (RGDP). The study utilized panel data gotten from the statistics databank of the various Central Banks in the Sub-Sahara region and the development indicators of the World Bank for period 1986 - 2021; thus, giving a total observation of 144. The Hausman statistics gave the panel fixed effect regression technique as the most appropriate analytical method, which revealed short run relationship at the 5% significant level. From the result of the study, both external reserves and domestic debt are positive and significant to gross domestic product; external debt is negative and insignificant to gross domestic product; while budget deficit is negative and insignificant to gross domestic product. In conclusion, deficit financing affects the growth rate of most Sub-Sahara African economies. The study recommends among others that both fiscal and monetary agencies of the Sub-Sahara countries should maintain optimum level of domestic debt as it is one of the mechanisms for economic growth. Also, is the enforcement of economic policies to aid increase in external reserves.
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