调整新兴商业模式和监管结构的技术规划——以电动汽车充电和智能电网为例

K. Cowan, T. Daim
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引用次数: 3

摘要

根据电力研究所的一项研究,智能电网有可能在未来20年内为美国公用事业部门带来超过2万亿美元的效益。然而,该研究还预计,要实现这些回报,将需要高达4760亿美元的巨额成本。因此,尽管智能电网代表着一个巨大的机会,其收益成本比接近6比1,但考虑到巨大的财务金额,至关重要的是,智能电网的规划过程必须非常谨慎。规划在电力公用事业部门部署智能电网技术可能是一个复杂而困难的过程,因为保护消费者的监管框架已经发展起来,需要制定有关众多新兴技术的标准,需要新兴的商业模式,可以适应这些不断发展的技术和监管框架。技术路线图提供了许多有用的工具,可以帮助规划智能电网的发展,但需要一个高度集成的方法来适应所提到的所有因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Technology Planning for Aligning Emerging Business Models and Regulatory Structures — The Case of Electric Vehicle Charging and the Smart Grid
Smart Grid has the potential to produce over $2 trillion of benefits in the US utility sector over the next 20 years, according to a study by the Electric Power Research Institute. However, the study also projects significant costs of up to $476 billion to achieve these returns. Therefore, while smart grid represents an enormous opportunity, with a benefit-to-cost ratio of nearly 6 to 1, given the enormous financial sums at stake, it is crucial that the planning process for smart grid be done with extreme care. Planning the deployment of smart grid technology in the electric utility sector can be a complex and difficult process due to regulatory frameworks that have evolved to protect consumers, the need for development of standards regarding numerous emerging technologies, and the need for emerging business models which can fit with these evolving technology and regulatory frameworks. Technology roadmapping provides a number of useful tools which can help with the planning of smart grid development, but a highly integrated approach is needed to accommodate the full range of factors mentioned.
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