A Data Fusion Formulation for Decentralized Estimation Predictions under Communications Uncertainty

Uncertainty in communication channel characteristics is a significant factor for data fusion operations in wireless networks. Burst and random errors, message delays, user mobility, and link outages are significant factors that influence data fusion performance. These factors become even more significant in future mobile ad hoc networking environments. To date, however, those factors are not sufficiently addressed by formulations used for modeling and predicting data fusion performance. A stochastic-based fusion formulation that incorporates the effects of non-deterministic behaviors and stochastic communications characteristics is developed and proposed as a method for predicting estimation capabilities. The resulting stochastic fusion equations enable decentralized estimation capabilities to be evaluated in communication networks having non-idealized channel characteristics and ad hoc connectivity. The method is implemented in a simulation model for decentralized estimation in networks with time-varying ad hoc connectivity. The simulation results demonstrate the ability to closely predict expected fusion performance while greatly reducing model complexity and simulation time relative to current techniques. Those findings demonstrate the efficacy of a stochastic fusion formulation for prediction, and extending the approach to a wider range of data fusion domains and techniques is recommended