论社会保障制度的未来

C. Aspalter
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文在这里和那里详细阐述并试图扩展金晋洙(延世大学)的一个关键愿景,即社会保障体系在未来几十年将在世界范围内面临一场艰苦的战斗,如果他们不以适当的方式迅速做出全面的反应,他们很可能会输掉这场战斗。其原因已被确定并进一步解释。然而,它们产生影响的程度和时间尚不确定,而且肯定会因国而异。他们已经在这里了,并且与当前以保险为基础的社会保障体系(无论本质上是俾斯麦式的还是贝弗里奇式的)的内在金融逻辑背道而驰。这篇论文,就像金晋秀之前的研究结果一样,试图对基于社会保险的社会保障制度的未来问题进行敏感化,这一制度的基础肯定是摇摇欲坠的,如果不是更糟的话,特别是,但不仅仅是,目前的情况和趋势,社会老龄化和世界各地的劳动力市场变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the Future of Social Security Systems
This paper elaborates and tries to extend, here and there, a key vision from Kim Jinsoo (of Yonsei University) that social security systems are subject to an uphill battle in the coming decades around the world, which they are most likely -- if they abstain from responding quickly in appropriate terms, and to full extent -- to lose. The reasons for which have been determined and explained further. The extent and timing of them to impact is, however, yet uncertain, and certainly will vary from country to country. They are here already, and working against the inner, fincancial, logic of current insurance-based social security systems (be they Bismarckian or Beveridgean in nature). This paper, as the findings of Kim Jinsoo before, tries to sensibilize the issue of a future of social insurance-based social security systems that stands on, for sure, shaky grounds, if not much worse, given particularly, but not only, the current situation and trends of societal aging and labor market changes around the world.
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