中央银行独立性与通货膨胀

R. Parry
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摘要

作为一名保守的央行官员,我可以很容易地想出一些理由来证明但丁对通胀者的严厉对待是合理的。首先,较高的通货膨胀水平通常与较高的通货膨胀不确定性有关。通货膨胀的不确定性增加意味着企业和劳动力的计划和收缩更加困难。这也意味着长期利率的风险溢价更高,从而抑制资本形成和生产率。事实上,在但丁之后600年,列宁说,摧毁资本主义制度的最好方法是破坏货币。根据凯恩斯的观点,列宁是对的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Central Bank Independence and Inflation
As a conservative central banker, I can easily think of a number of reasons to justify Dante's harsh treatment of inflators. To begin with, a higher level of inflation is generally associated with higher uncertainty about inflation. And higher uncertainty about inflation means more difficult planning and contracting by business and labor. It also means higher risk premia in long-term interest rates, which depress capital formation and productivity. In fact, 600 years after Dante, Lenin said the best way to destroy the capital ist system was to debauch the currency. And according to Keynes, Lenin was right.
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