核电站地震二级概率安全评价方法及应用研究

Hongjia Zheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在福岛核事故之后,许多国家都更加重视核电站的地震风险。这表明,地震事件的风险评估是至关重要的。地震1级概率安全评估(PSA)有成熟的方法,但如何进行地震2级概率安全评估研究已成为监管机构和运营商需要深入思考的关键问题。本文研究了核电站地震二级概率安全评价方法。地震2级PSA侧重于地震事件造成堆芯损坏后的严重事故现象、进展和源项释放,以评估堆芯的安全壳响应。为了验证该方法的有效性,本研究以中国在建核电站为例。地震二级PSA重点关注关键要素,包括一级/二级PSA界面分析、严重事故设计特征、严重事故现象、安全壳事件树分析、地震易感性分析等。为了评估地震事件引起的大释放频率(LRF),建立了基于风险信息的地震2级PSA模型。所提出的方法有望为执行地震2级PSA和决策支持提供有效的框架,以提高核电站的安全性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study on Methodology and Application of Seismic Level 2 Probabilistic Safety Assessment for Nuclear Power Plants
Many countries have paid more attention to seismic risk in nuclear power plants after the Fukushima nuclear accident. It indicates that evaluating the risk for seismic event is vitally important. Seismic Level 1 probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has a mature methodology, but how to perform the study on seismic Level 2 PSA has become a crucial problem needed to be considered deeply by both regulators and operators. In this paper, the methodology of seismic Level 2 probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) is developed for nuclear power plants. Seismic Level 2 PSA is focused on the severe accident phenomenon, progression and source terms release to evaluate the containment response after core damage caused by seismic event. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, this study took a nuclear power plant under construction in China as an example. Seismic Level 2 PSA focuses on crucial elements including Level 1/ Level 2 PSA interface analysis, severe accident design features, severe accident phenomenon, containment event tree analysis, seismic fragility analysis, etc. A risk-informed seismic Level 2 PSA model is developed to evaluate large release frequency (LRF) caused by seismic event. The proposed methodology can be expected to provide an effective framework for performing the seismic Level 2 PSA and decision support to improve the nuclear power plant safety.
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