运用Cox回归模型对寿险保费进行定价

D. Sari, D. Lestari, S. Devila
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引用次数: 3

摘要

标准死亡率通常决定人寿保险费。在本文中,死亡率将通过纳入可观察到的危险因素,如性别和吸烟状况来估计。为此,应用了Cox回归模型。用偏极大似然估计模型参数,用Nelson-Aalen估计估计基线危害函数。然后,我们将根据死亡率的估计值计算个人人寿保险费。结果是吸烟者的单次净保费高于非吸烟者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Pricing life insurance premiums using Cox regression model
The standard mortality rate usually determines the life insurance premium. In this paper, the mortality rate will be estimated by involving observable risk factors such as gender and smoking status. For that purpose, the Cox regression model is applied. The partial maximum likelihood is used to estimate the parameters of the model and the Nelson-Aalen estimator is used to estimate the baseline hazard function. Then, we will calculate individual life insurance premiums based on the estimated value of the mortality rate. The result is that the amount of single net premiums of smokers is higher than that of non-smokers.
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