利用离散事件仿真和响应面模型生成Logistic特征曲线

S. Kuhnt, Dominik Kirchhoff, S. Wenzel, J. Stolipin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

物流特征曲线(lcc)或物流运行曲线(loc)描述了生产和物流系统的各种关键绩效指标(kpi)之间的关系。这些关系可以通过图表定性或定量地可视化,以说明这些系统的性能。离散事件模拟(DES)允许在考虑不确定性的情况下对生产和物流系统的动态行为进行详细调查,从而有助于其规划可靠性。利用仿真模型和实验生成的数据,对模型系统的kpi进行了测量。当然,不同的生产和物流系统也有几个目标系统,其中各个目标变量相互作用,因此可能发生冲突。在本文中,提出了一种方法,结合了DES和经验模型构建的统计技术,即响应面模型,通过使用loc来预测生产和物流系统的行为,从而通过减少模拟运行次数来减少实验的工作量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Generating Logistic Characteristic Curves using Discrete Event Simulation and Response Surface Models
Logistic Characteristic Curves (LCCs) or Logistic Operating Curves (LOCs) describe relationships between various Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) of production and logistics systems. These relationships can be qualitatively or quantitatively visualized by charts to illustrate the performance of these systems. Discrete Event Simulation (DES) allows a detailed investigation of the dynamic behavior of production and logistics systems under consideration of uncertainties and thus contributes to their planning reliability. Using simulation models and the data generated by the experiments, KPIs of the modeled systems are measured. Of course, different production and logistics systems also have several target systems whereby the individual target variables interact with each other and can, therefore, conflict. In this paper, a methodology is presented that combines DES and a statistical technique for empirical model building, namely the response surface model, to predict the behavior of production and logistics systems by using LOCs and thereby decrease the effort for experimentation by reducing the number of simulation runs.
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