灾难和危机准备

D. Alexander
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引用次数: 1

摘要

备灾包括旨在减轻或减少重大风险和灾害影响的举措,从而建立复原力。这需要远见和计划。人们可以区分长期和短期准备活动。前者可分为结构性、半结构性、非结构性和环境类。结构性准备包括建立防御和加强建筑物和基础设施,以抵御灾害的实际影响。虽然它被广泛使用,但价格昂贵,而且通常不能完全保护人们免受灾难的影响。半结构措施包括可拆除的防洪屏障和指定蓄洪区。非结构性措施包括土地使用规划(包括在高危险地区禁止定居点和其他用途)、保险和应急规划。其中最后一项旨在确保优化危机情况下的资源使用,以便有效应对影响。基于自然或生态的措施涉及提高自然系统的能力,以摊销灾害的影响。应急准备配置了响应的“架构”,包括指挥中心、控制系统、危害监测网络、旨在向公众发出警告的系统以及疏散人员的计划。与应急规划并行,业务连续性管理是一种备灾形式,旨在确保组织的持续运作。它可能包括保护他们在客户、顾客和供应商中的声誉,以及他们的市场地位或股票市场报价的措施。对大流行病的防范可以视为一种特殊情况,即在进行医疗和流行病防范的同时,还要采取防范措施,应对大流行病给社会带来的深刻的社会经济变化。在灾后恢复阶段,做好准备也很重要。这段时期有一个“机会之窗”,在此期间,官方和公众对这个问题的敏感性可以被用来改善安全,方法是按照比灾难发生前更高的标准进行重建,并纳入新的安全措施。就弹性而言,这是一种“向前反弹”策略,有时被称为“更好地重建”,而不是冒着恢复先前存在的漏洞的风险的“反弹”策略。由于环境灾害的规模和频率发生了重大变化,人员和资产的脆弱性大幅增加,以及自然环境的人为退化,灾害风险在现代世界尤其动态。因此,如果要避免巨大的损失,防备是非常必要的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Disaster and Crisis Preparedness
Preparedness involves initiatives designed to mitigate or reduce the impact of major risks and disasters and thus create resilience. It requires foresight and planning. One can distinguish between long-term and short-term preparedness activities. The former can be divided into structural, semi-structural, nonstructural, and environmental categories. Structural preparedness involves building defenses and strengthening buildings and infrastructure against the physical impact of disasters. Although widely used, it is expensive and usually does not provide complete protection against the effects of disaster. Semi-structural measures include flood barriers that can be dismantled and the designation of areas for the storage of floodwater. Nonstructural measures comprise land-use planning (including interdiction on settlement and other uses in areas of high hazard), insurance, and emergency planning. The last of these is designed to ensure that resource usage in crisis situations is optimized in favor of responding effectively to the impact. Nature-based or ecological measures involve enhancing the power of natural systems to amortize the impact of disaster. Emergency preparedness configures the “architecture” of response, including command centers, control systems, hazard monitoring networks, systems designed to warn the public, and plans to evacuate people. In parallel to emergency planning, business continuity management is a form of preparedness that is designed to ensure the continued functionality of organizations. It may include measures to protect their reputation among clients, customers, and suppliers, and their market position or stock market quotation. Preparedness for pandemics can be considered as a special case, in which medical and epidemiological preparations are accompanied by preparedness measures to deal with the profound socioeconomic changes that a pandemic brings to society. Preparedness is also important during the phase of recovery from disaster. This period involves a “window of opportunity” in which official and public sensitivity to the problem can be used to improve safety by reconstructing to higher standards than existed before the disaster and incorporating new safety measures. In terms of resilience, this is a “bounce-forward” strategy, sometimes known as “build back better,” rather than a “bounce-back” one that would risk restoring preexisting vulnerabilities. Disaster risk is particularly dynamic in the modern world, thanks to major changes in the magnitude and frequency of environmental hazards, large increases in the vulnerability of people and assets, and anthropogenic degradation of natural environments. Preparedness is thus a major imperative that is greatly needed if very large losses are to be avoided.
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