ipo与seo的实证分析:来自中国股市的证据

Tianxiang Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

首次公开募股(ipo)最近引起了金融经济学家的广泛关注。然而,差距仍然存在,需要进行更多的实证研究,特别是对于不成熟的股票市场,如中国。本研究主要集中在中国案例中的“信用评级对IPO和seo的影响”、“复杂的IPO配置机制”和“IPO和seo之间的联系以及seo动机”方面,使用的数据从1990年到2011年,涵盖了整个中国股票市场的发展史。首先,本文证实了信用评级的存在能够减少信息不对称,降低IPO/SEO过低定价水平,无论是来自中国国内评级机构还是来自国际三大评级机构(标准普尔、惠誉和穆迪)的评级,其中所谓的“非信用评级”制度在中国确实起作用。此外,本文还进一步证明了多重信用评级的存在可以降低IPO/SEO的抑价水平。更重要的是,本研究证实了影响IPO/SEO低定价的因素不仅仅是信用评级的存在,还有信用评级的水平。为了分析信用评级的影响,本文还基于中国的定价模型将样本分为四个子样本,并提供了额外的结果,即信用评级的存在只能减少IPO的第二和第三时间段的信息不对称,但信用评级的存在可以降低SEO在所有时间段的低定价。其次,我们考察了配置机制选择的决定因素,以及每种配置机制在减少中国市场IPO抑价方面的有效性。研究结果表明,在中国的几种IPO配置机制中,“建帐”(BB)机制对降低低定价水平最为有效,市场条件、企业风险水平、信息不对称和资本需求都对IPO配置机制的选择有重要影响。我们的研究结果还证明,董事会规模较大或法人持股比例较高的公司不太可能使用BB配置机制。较高的流通股比例与使用BB配置机制的可能性呈负相关,且在不同的配置机制下,ipo的短期和长期业绩差异显著。第三,关于ipo与seo之间的联系,研究结果提供了新的证据,表明企业将ipo定价过低作为策略,并将以更高的价格和更大的规模来弥补后续seo的损失。此外,本文还在不同的时间长度(IPO后12个月、24个月、36个月和36个月以上进行SEO)中捕获了IPO与SEO效果之间的联系。本文证实了公司治理也可以影响SEO决策。本文还对中国案例中seo的激励进行了评估。本文的研究结果为IPO和SEO在中国案例中的差异提供了实证证据,并可直接用于现实世界的参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Empirical Analysis of IPOs and SEOs: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Markets
Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) have drawn much attention among financial economists recently. However, gaps still exist and more empirical research is warranted, especially for immature stock markets, such as China. This research mainly concentrates on the aspects of “Credit rating effect on IPOs and SEOs’, ‘Complicated IPO allocation mechanisms’ and ‘Links between IPOs and SEOs, and SEOs motivations’ in the Chinese case using data from 1990 to 2011, which covers the entire history of the Chinese stock market development. First of all, this thesis confirms that the presence of credit rating is able to reduce information asymmetry and lower the IPO/SEO underpricing level no matter the rating is from the Chinese domestic rating agency or top three international rating agencies (S&P, Fitch and Moody’s), where the so-called ‘Non-creditable rating’ system does work in Chinese case. Further, this thesis proves additional evidence that multiple credit ratings' presence can lower the IPO/SEO underpricing level. What is more, this research confirms that what matters on IPO/SEO underpricing is not only the presence of credit rating, but also the level of credit rating. In order to analyse the credit-rating effect, this thesis has also divided sample into four sub-samples based on a pricing model in China and provides additional results that credit-rating presence is only able to reduce information asymmetry in time periods two and three for IPO, but the presence of credit rating can lower underpricing for SEO in all time periods. Secondly, we examine the determinants of the allocation mechanism choice and the how effective each allocation mechanism is in reducing the IPO underpricing for the Chinese market. Our results show that among the several IPO allocation mechanisms in China, the “bookbuilding” (BB) is most effective in reducing the underpricing level, and that the market conditions, firm’s risk level, information asymmetry and capital demand all play important roles in the choice of the IPO allocation mechanism. Our results also attest that firms with larger board size and or a higher proportion of legal persons sharing ownership are less likely to use the BB allocation mechanism. A higher proportion of tradable shares is negatively associated with the likelihood of using BB allocation mechanism, and the short-term and the long-term performance of IPOs vary significantly across the allocation mechanisms.Thirdly, regarding the link between IPOs and SEOs, the results provide new evidence that firms do underpricing IPOs as strategy and will compensate the loss from following SEOs with higher price and larger sizes. Additionally, this thesis also captures the link between the IPO and SEO effect in different time lengths (doing SEOs within 12 months, 24 months, 36 months and more than 36 months after IPOs). The thesis confirms corporate governance can influence SEO decisions as well. Incentives of SEOs in the Chinese case also be evaluated in this thesis.All our results in the thesis provide empirical evidence of difference areas about IPO and SEO in the Chinese case, and the results can be used as references directly in the real world.
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