可持续消费和美国家庭的综合经济福利

Daniel H. Cooper, Barry Z. Cynamon, Steven M. Fazzari
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摘要

摘要:本文提出了一种家庭经济福利的综合衡量方法。“可持续消费”概念考虑了收入、资产、债务、转移支付和资产回报,以估计一个家庭一生中平衡资源与支出的消费路径。使用收入动态面板研究数据计算可持续消费表明,它可以作为实际家庭支出的锚点。结果表明,从20世纪80年代中期到21世纪初,可持续消费经历了一段快速增长时期后,平均停滞不前。在大衰退之后,可持续消费的下降超过了实际消费的下降,部分原因是实际资产回报率的下降。分解可持续消费揭示了不同家庭资源在决定幸福方面的相对重要性,以及这些因素如何随着时间的推移而演变——如果单独考虑收入或财富等资源,就会忽略这些见解。应税收入支持大部分可持续消费;然而,作为家庭终身资源的一部分,应税收入平均减少了,而社会保障份额却增加了。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sustainable Consumption and the Comprehensive Economic Well-Being of American Households
Abstract: This paper develops a comprehensive measure of household economic well-being. The “sustainable consumption” concept accounts for income, assets, debt, transfer payments, and asset returns to estimate a consumption path that balances resources with expenditure over a household’s lifetime. Calculating sustainable consumption using Panel Study of Income Dynamics data demonstrates that it acts as an anchor for actual household spending. Results show that following a period of rapid growth from the mid-1980s to the early 2000s, sustainable consumption stagnated on average. In the aftermath of the Great Recession, the decline in sustainable consumption exceeded the fall in actual consumption due in part to a decline in real asset returns. Decomposing sustainable consumption reveals the relative importance of different household resources in determining well-being and how these factors evolve over time— insights that would be missed when resources such as income or wealth are considered separately. Taxable income supports the majority of sustainable consumption; however, as a share of households’ lifetime resources, taxable income has decreased on average while the Social Security share has grown.
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