代表性属性抽样类型对质量评价结果的影响分析

S. Gnat
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要研究背景:批量估价是指用统一的方法同时对多个属性进行估价的过程。用于大规模房地产估价的一个例子是房地产大规模估价的Szczecin算法(SAREMA),它可以发展成一个多元回归模型。该算法基于一组绘制的代表性属性。除其他外,这套标准决定所得估值的质量。目的:本研究的目的是验证假设,将抽样代表性的方法从原来的简单随机抽样改为分层抽样是否能改善SAREMA计量变量的结果。研究方法:采用简单随机抽样和分层抽样两种具有代表性的抽样方法进行研究。比较了考虑两种抽样方法和不同代表性属性数量的估值模型的误差。调查的一个关键方面是选择更好的抽样方法。结果:研究表明,分层抽样改善了估值结果,更具体地说,允许更低的均方根误差。分层抽样在研究的初始阶段获得了更好的结果,观测值更多,但减少了参与抽取的地层百分比,尽管RMSE增加,但在所有研究变体中保证了比基于简单抽样的相应结果更低的误差。新颖性:本文证实了通过改变代表性物业抽样方案来改善大规模物业估价结果的可能性。结果表明,分层抽样是创建一组代表性属性的更好方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the Impact of the Type of Sampling of Representative Properties on the Results of Mass Appraisal
Abstract Research background: Mass valuation is a process in which many properties are valued simultaneously with a uniform approach. An example of a procedure used for mass real estate valuation is the Szczecin Algorithm of Real Estate Mass Appraisal (SAREMA), which can be developed into a multiple regression model. The algorithm is based on a set of drawn representative properties. This set determines, inter alia, the quality of obtained valuations. Purpose: The objective of the study is to verify the hypothesis whether changing the method of sampling representative properties from the originally used simple random sampling to stratified sampling improves the results of the SAREMA econometric variant. Research methodology: The article presents a study that uses two methods of representative properties sampling – simple random sampling and stratified sampling. Errors of the models of valuation created taking into account both methods of sampling and different number of representative properties are compared. A key aspect of the survey is the choice of a better sampling method. Results: The study has shown that stratified sampling improves valuation results and, more specifically, allows for lower root mean square errors. Stratified sampling yielded better results in the initial phase of the study with more observations, but reducing the percentage of strata participating in the draws, despite the increase in RMSE, guaranteed lower errors than the corresponding results based on simple sampling in all variants of the study. Novelty: The article confirms the possibility of improving the results of mass property valuation by changing the scheme of representative properties sampling. The results allowed for the conclusion that stratified sampling is a better way of creating a set of representative properties.
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