信息不对称条件下Abadan和Arak石化企业息税前收益与经营性现金流和股票收益的关系——基于马尔可夫转换方法

Abolghasem Masihabadi, Ali Taghavi Moghaddam, Amir Shams Kulukhi, R. Rahmani
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摘要

本研究考察了阿巴丹和阿拉克石化公司的息税前收益、经营性现金流和股东回报之间的关系。在信息不对称条件下检验了这种关系。采用非线性马尔可夫切换方法对假设进行检验。通过2001-2010年的数据进行实证检验的结果表明,在Arak石化公司,息税前收益和经营性现金流这两个变量与公司股票收益率之间存在显著的关系。而在阿巴丹石油化工公司中,只有息税前收益变量与公司股票收益率存在显著的正相关关系。信息不对称的增加表明,经营现金流变量与公司股票收益的关系比息税前收益变量更强。也就是说,在信息不对称条件下,现金流量变量与公司股票收益的相关性高于应计变量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Relationship Between Earnings Before Interest and Taxes and Operating Cash Flow and Stock Return Under the Condition of Information Asymmetry in Abadan and Arak Petrochemical Companies Through Markov-Switching Approach
This research investigated the relationship between earnings before interest and taxes and operating cash flow and shareholders’ return in Abadan and Arak Petrochemical Companies. This relationship was tested under the condition of information asymmetry. Nonlinear Markov-Switching approach was adopted to test the hypotheses. The results of empirical tests through the data in 2001-2010 indicated that in Arak Petrochemical Company, both variables of earnings before interest and taxes and operating cash flow had significant relationship with stock return of company. However, in Abadan Petrochemical Company, only the variable of earnings before interest and taxes had significant and positive relationship with stock return of company. Increase in information asymmetry showed that variable of operating cash flow had a stronger relationship with stock return of companies than the variable of earnings before interest and taxes. In other words, under the condition of information asymmetry, cash flow variables had higher correlation with stock return of companies than accrual variables.
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