在销售和分销模块的企业资源规划中使用Holt-Winters进行销售预测

Vicky Chrystian Sugiarto, R. Sarno, Dwi Sunaryono
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引用次数: 17

摘要

企业资源规划是一个用于管理公司拥有的所有资源、业务活动和用于制定良好业务流程的信息的系统。ERP中的一个模块是销售和分销。销售和分销是一个模块,处理销售和交付货物给客户,以实现他们的业务目标。使用销售与配送模块的目的是根据客户对商品和服务的兴趣,简化向客户销售的过程,方便查询商品的销售情况和货物的送达情况,方便收集购买公司提供的商品或服务的客户,确定向客户提供合适的服务,预测客户所需商品的需求量。销售预测是计算特定产品的预期销售额,并预测该产品的未来销售额。它有助于做出明智的商业决策。本文介绍了几种销售预测方法,霍尔特温特斯加性法和霍尔特温特斯乘法法在ERP中的应用。利用Holt-Winters方法在ERP中实施销售预测,可以使系统更加准确、高效地确定客户的商品需求量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sales forecasting using Holt-Winters in Enterprise Resource Planning at sales and distribution module
Enterprise Resource Planning is a system used for managing all of the resources owned by the company, business activities, and information used to make a good business process. One of the modules in the ERP is sales and distribution. Sales and distribution is a module that handles the sale and delivery goods to customers to achieve their business objective. The use sales and distribution module is intended to simplify the process of selling to customers in accordance with the interests of customers for goods and services, makes it easy to check the sale of goods and delivery of goods, and facilitate the collection of customers who make a purchase of goods or services provided by the company, determines the appropriate services to customers, and forecast the amount of demand for goods desired by the customer. Sales forecasting is calculating the expected sales of a specific product and predicting future sales of the product. It helps in making informed business decisions. In this article some several of sales forecasting methods used, Holt-Winters Additive Method, and Holt-Winters Multiplicative Method applied in ERP. The implementation of sales forecasting using Holt-Winters method in the ERP can make the system more accurate and efficient in the determination of the amount of goods demanded by customers.
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