萨尔瓦多性暴力复杂反常模式的发现

Maria De-Arteaga, A. Dubrawski
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引用次数: 7

摘要

当性暴力是有组织犯罪或社会想象的产物时,性暴力事件之间的联系可以被理解为一个潜在的结构。有了这个假设,我们就可以使用数据科学来发现复杂的模式。在本文中,我们着重于使用数据挖掘技术来揭示性暴力的复杂异常时空模式。我们通过分析萨尔瓦多九年来报告的所有强奸案来说明它们的使用。通过我们的分析,我们能够提供一些现象的证据,据我们所知,这些现象以前没有在文献中报道过。我们特别关注我们在东方发现的一种模式,未成年受害者举报她们的男朋友是犯罪者的比例异常高。最后,我们解释了如何实时进行此类分析,从而能够及早发现新出现的模式,从而使执法机构和政策制定者能够做出相应的反应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Discovery of Complex Anomalous Patterns of Sexual Violence in El Salvador
When sexual violence is a product of organized crime or social imaginary, the links between sexual violence episodes can be understood as a latent structure. With this assumption in place, we can use data science to uncover complex patterns. In this paper we focus on the use of data mining techniques to unveil complex anomalous spatiotemporal patterns of sexual violence. We illustrate their use by analyzing all reported rapes in El Salvador over a period of nine years. Through our analysis, we are able to provide evidence of phenomena that, to the best of our knowledge, have not been previously reported in literature. We devote special attention to a pattern we discover in the East, where underage victims report their boyfriends as perpetrators at anomalously high rates. Finally, we explain how such analyzes could be conducted in real-time, enabling early detection of emerging patterns to allow law enforcement agencies and policy makers to react accordingly.
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