相对信念与综合证据

M. Evans
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引用次数: 0

摘要

考虑了多个贝叶斯推理基础中证据的组合问题。在每个推理基础中使用相对信念比来测量证据,相对信念比给出了一个明确的规定,即是否有证据支持或反对诸如参数之类的未知的每个可能值。虽然有许多可能的方法来组合证据,但线性池化的方法脱颖而出,因为它保留了共识,而其他方法可能不会。但是,如果需要正式的贝叶斯证明,则此应用程序存在约束。在这些限制不成立的某些应用程序中,可以通过允许称为Jeffrey条件化的方法来推广该方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Relative Belief and Combining Evidence
The problem of combining the evidence in several Bayesian inference bases is considered. Evidence is measured in each inference base using the relative belief ratio which gives an unambiguous prescription of whether there is evidence in favour of or against each possible value of an unknown such as a parameter. While there are many possible ways to combine the evidence, the method of linear pooling stands out as it preserves a consensus while others may not. There are constraints on this application, however, if one requires a formal Bayesian justification. In some applications where these restrictions do not hold, the approach can be generalized by allowing for the methodology known as Jeffrey conditionalization.
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