油价新闻与covid -19有联系吗?

Energy RESEARCH LETTERS Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI:10.46557/001c.13176

P. Narayan

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引用次数: 310

摘要

我们评估了COVID-19感染和油价新闻对油价影响的相对重要性。我们表明，当新冠肺炎感染人数超过84,479人时，COVID-19对油价的影响更大。以COVID-19为条件的油价新闻对价格的影响有限。如果以油价波动率为阈值，在波动率较高的情况下，COVID-19病例和油价负面新闻都会影响油价。

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Oil Price News and COVID-19—Is There Any Connection?

We evaluate the relative importance of COVID-19 infections and oil price news in influencing oil prices. We show that when the number of new COVID-19 infections surpasses 84,479, COVID-19 exerts a bigger effect on oil prices. Oil price news when conditioned on COVID-19 cases have limited effects on price. When oil price volatility is used as a threshold, at higher levels of volatility, both COVID-19 cases and negative oil price news influence oil prices.

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Energy RESEARCH LETTERS

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