博科圣地叛乱对尼日利亚东北部社会经济活动的影响

Nicholas Ajegba Abakpa, Moses Aondohemba Tyokosu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

-该研究调查了博科圣地在东北部的叛乱对尼日利亚社会经济活动的影响。事后研究设计作为观察在研究中被用来建立变量之间的关系。这项研究使用了20年的二手数据;其中10年是叛乱前的1994-2003年,10年是叛乱期间的2004-2013年。本研究的数据来自世界银行关于1994年至2013年二十(20)年间农业增加值占GDP的百分比,以确定农业对尼日利亚国内生产总值(GDP)的贡献程度。有必要使用这些已经生成的数据来显示时间序列效应。采用ARIMA统计分析方法,借助SPSS (statistical Package for Social Sciences)对假设进行检验。研究发现,东北地区教派活动对社会经济活动有显著影响。总的结论是,博科圣地在东北部的叛乱对尼日利亚的社会经济活动产生了影响。这项研究建议联邦政府应该接受与该组织的谈判,因为他们准备与联邦政府对话,但这只能是实际的,如果政府周期内的反叛组织,随时准备破坏战略,被淘汰,驱逐和起诉摘要-该研究调查了博科圣地叛乱在东北部对尼日利亚社会经济活动的影响。事后研究设计作为观察在研究中被用来建立变量之间的关系。这项研究使用了20年的二手数据;其中10年是叛乱前的1994-2003年,10年是叛乱期间的2004-2013年。本研究的数据来自世界银行关于1994年至2013年二十(20)年间农业增加值占GDP的百分比,以确定农业对尼日利亚国内生产总值(GDP)的贡献程度。有必要使用这些已经生成的数据来显示时间序列效应。采用ARIMA统计分析方法,借助SPSS (statistical Package for Social Sciences)对假设进行检验。研究发现,东北地区教派活动对社会经济活动有显著影响。总的结论是,博科圣地在东北部的叛乱对尼日利亚的社会经济活动产生了影响。这项研究建议联邦政府应该接受与该组织的谈判,因为他们准备与联邦政府对话,但这只有在政府周期内准备破坏战略的反叛组织被清除、驱逐和起诉的情况下才能实现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
EFFECT OF BOKO HARAM INSURGENCY IN THE NORTH EAST ON THE SOCIOECONOMIC ACTIVITIES OF NIGERIA
- The study examined the effect of Boko Haram insurgency in the North East on the socioeconomic activities of Nigeria. Ex-post facto research design as the observations was used in the research to establish the relationship between the variables. The study made use of secondary data covering a period of twenty years; were 10 years were from 1994-2003 before the insurgency and 10 years were from 2004-2013 during the insurgency. The data from this study were obtained from World Bank on agricultural value added percentage of GDP from 1994 to 2013 a period of twenty (20) years to determine the extent of agricultural contributions to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Nigeria. It is necessary to use this data that had been generated to show the time series effect. ARIMA statistical method of analysis was adopted with the aid of Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) to test the hypothesis. It was found out that the sects’ activities in the North East had significantly affected the socioeconomic activities. The general conclusion was that Boko Haram insurgency in the North East had effect on socioeconomic activities of Nigeria. This study recommended that the federal government should embrace negotiation with the group since they ready to dialogue with the federal government but this can only be actual if the rebel group within the government cycle, which are ever ready to sabotage the strategy, are fished out, dislodged and prosecuted Abstract- The study examined the effect of Boko Haram insurgency in the North East on the socioeconomic activities of Nigeria. Ex-post facto research design as the observations was used in the research to establish the relationship between the variables. The study made use of secondary data covering a period of twenty years; were 10 years were from 1994-2003 before the insurgency and 10 years were from 2004-2013 during the insurgency. The data from this study were obtained from World Bank on agricultural value added percentage of GDP from 1994 to 2013 a period of twenty (20) years to determine the extent of agricultural contributions to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Nigeria. It is necessary to use this data that had been generated to show the time series effect. ARIMA statistical method of analysis was adopted with the aid of Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) to test the hypothesis. It was found out that the sects’ activities in the North East had significantly affected the socioeconomic activities. The general conclusion was that Boko Haram insurgency in the North East had effect on socioeconomic activities of Nigeria. This study recommended that the federal government should embrace negotiation with the group since they ready to dialogue with the federal government but this can only be actual if the rebel group within the government cycle, which are ever ready to sabotage the strategy, are fished out, dislodged and prosecuted accordingly.
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