实证资产定价在DSGE框架:调和校准和计量经济学使用部分间接推理

J. Grammig, Julie Schnaitmann, Dalia Elshiaty
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在对DSGE资产定价方法进行批判性评估。通过采用部分间接推理,我们承认模型的某些部分是错误的,而其他部分保留了捕捉经济现实的主张,即在真实市场中交易的资产定价的能力。因此,我们使用绑定函数来促进对利益结构模型参数(有关投资者偏好)的一致估计,同时将其他(控制宏观经济动态)视为校准的干扰参数。我们的实证分析结果对DSGE资产定价方法并不不利,但它们也表明,对校准结果的非常积极的解释,特别是关于资产定价难题的解决,应该有所保留。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Empirical Asset Pricing in a DSGE Framework: Reconciling Calibration and Econometrics using Partial Indirect Inference
This paper aims at a critical assessment of the DSGE asset pricing approach. By employing partial indirect inference, we acknowledge that parts of a model are misspecified, while others retain the claim to capture economic reality, namely the ability to price assets traded in real markets. Consequently, we use binding functions that facilitate the consistent estimation of the structural model parameters of interest (concerning investor preferences), while treating others (governing macroeconomic dynamics) as nuisance parameters that are calibrated. The results of our empirical analysis are not unfavorable for the DSGE asset pricing approach, but they also indicate that the very positive interpretation of calibration results, in particular regarding the resolution of asset pricing puzzles, should be taken with a grain of salt.
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