I. Tsvetkov
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文致力于研究唐纳德·特朗普执政期间和乔·拜登总统任期开始时美国对台湾问题外交政策的演变。文章在2021年8月美国从阿富汗撤军的背景下分析了台湾海峡的局势。尽管特朗普政府的人事选择非常具体,而且特朗普总统的政治决定总体上也很冲动,但他对台湾问题的看法与美国政治精英阶层长期以来成熟的愿望不谋而合,即在与台湾的关系上摆脱自我克制,以避免与中国发生公开冲突。中美关系恶化和特朗普的亲台举措导致台海地区局势高度紧张,国际上对台湾的支持减少。与此同时,美国传统的“战略模糊性政策”仍未彻底瓦解。拜登的第一步表明,在保持强硬的“特朗普”姿态的同时,他决心稳定台湾局势。这位新总统寻求维持与台湾在特朗普执政期间的关系水平,同时避免轻率和挑衅性的决定。总的来说,可以说台湾正日益成为美国外交政策的焦点。从阿富汗撤军不仅不会导致美国在台湾海峡的保障水平下降,相反,它将有可能在这里吸引新的资源。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The problem of US international obligations after withdrawal from Afghanistan: Is America ready to defend Taiwan?
The article is devoted to the study of the evolution of US foreign policy towards the Taiwan problem during the administration of Donald Trump and the beginning of Joe Biden’s presidency. The situation in the Taiwan Strait is analysed in the article in the context of the withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan in August 2021. Despite the very specific selection of the administration’s personnel and the general impulsiveness of President Trump’s political decisions, his vision of the Taiwan problem coincided with a long-ripening desire in the ranks of the American political elite to get rid of self-restraint in relations with Taiwan in order to avoid open conflict with China. A result of the deterioration of US-China relations and Trump’s related pro-Taiwan initiatives was high tension in the Taiwan Strait zone, and a decrease of international support for Taiwan. At the same time, the complete destruction of the traditional American “policy of strategic ambiguity” still did not occur. Biden’s first steps have shown that while maintaining the appearance of a tough “Trump” approach to the problem, he is intent on stabilizing the situation around Taiwan. The new president seeks to maintain the level of ties with Taiwan achieved under Trump, while avoiding rash and provocative decisions. Overall, it can be argued that Taiwan is increasingly moving into the focus of American foreign policy. The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan will not only not lead to a decrease in the level of American guarantees in the Taiwan Strait, but, on the contrary, it will make it possible to attract new resources here.
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