互联网技术与政治抗议

Nils B. Weidmann, E. Rød
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章提出了一种完善的理论方法,以区分数字技术促进抗议出现的条件,以及它压制抗议的条件。该理论的核心是观察到对互联网的控制是不对称的,政府决定何时何地在其国家引进和扩展这项技术。面对要求创新的经济压力,各国政府将试图利用互联网来改善治理,同时也会审查内容和加强监督,从而将政治风险降至最低。因此,从长远来看,提高互联网普及率应该与减少抗议事件有关。然而,一旦抗议活动爆发,很难迅速遏制正在通过网络渠道传播的异议,这就是为什么互联网可能会促进抗议活动的持续和扩散。本章还强调,数字通信对抗议活动的影响必须与专制政府仍然可用的传统镇压手段结合起来考虑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Internet Technology and Political Protest
The chapter proposes a refined theoretical approach to distinguish the conditions under which digital technology fosters the emergence of protest, and under which it suppresses it. At the core of this theory is the observation that control of the Internet is asymmetrical, where governments decide when and where to introduce and expand this technology in their countries. Facing economic pressure to innovate, governments will try to minimize political risks using the Internet to improve governance, but also to censor content and improve surveillance. Hence, increasing Internet penetration should be related to reduced protest occurrence in the long run. Once protest has broken out, however, it is difficult to quickly contain the spread of ongoing dissent through online channels, which is why the Internet may foster the persistence and diffusion of protest. The chapter also highlights that the effect of digital communication on protest has to be considered in conjunction with traditional means of repression that continue to be available to autocratic governments.
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