信贷渠道利率与货币流通量对印尼经济增长的影响分析

Al Afdol, M. Mardiana, Any Widayatsar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是分析信贷渠道利率与货币供应量对印尼经济增长的关系。本研究使用的数据是2005年至2019年的时间序列数据,来自印度尼西亚银行(BI)和中央统计局(BPS)。本研究使用的分析方法是向量自回归(VAR),使用Eviews 10.0版本的计算机应用程序。研究结果表明,利率在短期内对贷款具有显著的负向影响,而贷款作为一个变量,无论在短期还是长期,利率对经济增长都具有显著的正向影响。银行信贷变量对长期货币供给有显著影响,而短期和长期货币供给对经济增长都有负向影响。格兰杰因果检验的结果表明,印度尼西亚利率与银行信贷之间存在单向因果关系,如果我们使用10%,利率与经济增长之间存在单向因果关系,银行信贷与货币供应量之间存在单向关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis Of Interest Rate Through Credit Channel And The Amount Of The Money Circulation On Indonesian Economic Growth 2005 – 2019
The purpose of this study was to analyze the relationship between Interest Rates Through Credit Channels and the Money Supply on Indonesia's Economic Growth. The data used in this study is time series data from 2005 to 2019, sourced from Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The analytical method used in this study is Vector Autoregression (VAR) using the Eviews version 10.0 computer application program. The results show that interest rates have a negative and significant effect on lending in the short term, lending as a variable connecting interest rates has a positive and significant effect on economic growth, both in the short and long term. The banking credit variable has a significant effect on the money supply in the long term, while the money supply in both the short and long term has a negative effect on economic growth. The results of the Granger causality test show that there is a one-way causal relationship between interest rates and bank credit in Indonesia, interest rates with economic growth if we use 10% and a one-way relationship between bank credit and the money supply.
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