一般均衡模型中的平均回归债务/GDP动态

Rosella Levaggi, F. Menoncin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

通过税收或债务(或两者兼而有之)为公共支出融资的选择已被文献广泛调查,但没有找到最终解决方案。在本文中,我们采取了不同的观点,并计算了最优债务/GDP比率的动态,以研究在哪些条件下它收敛于模型内生的有限均衡。我们证明,如果资本增长率高于公共债务支付的(恒定)利率,则存在收敛性。当允许利率取决于债务本身时,如果赤字/GDP足够小,这种趋同就存在。因此,需要一项赤字控制/削减政策,以防止债务激增,这证明了一些超国家政策的实施是合理的,例如在欧盟层面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mean Reverting Debt/GDP Dynamics in a General Equilibrium Model
The choice of financing public expenditure with taxes or debt (or both) have been widely investigated by the literature, without finding an ultimate solution. In this article, we take a different point of view and compute the dynamics of the optimal debt/GDP ratio to study under which conditions it converges towards a finite equilibrium that is endogenous to the model. We show that the convergence exists if the capital growth rate is higher than the (constant) interest rate paid on the public debt. When the interest rate is allowed to depend on the debt itself, the convergence exists if the deficit/GDP is sufficiently small. Thus, a policy of deficit control/reduction is needed in order to prevent the debt from exploding and this justify some super-national policies implemented, for instance, at the EU level.
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