战略投票下棘手问题中的集体失误

Tomoya Tajika
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们考虑了一种共同价值投票,其中自然状态是一对与收益相关的状态和一个变量,该变量决定了选民私人信号的精度和意义。每个选民都会收到关于这两个州的嘈杂信号。当投票人的数量足够大时,我们展示了一个坏均衡的存在,在这个均衡中,所有的投票人都忽略了关于变量的信号,并且投票时就好像其中一个变量是正确的。在均衡中,多数投票做出错误决策的概率可以足够接近于1。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Collective Mistake in a Tricky Question Under Strategic Voting
We consider a common-value voting in which the state of the nature is a pair of payoff-relevant state and a variable that determines the precision and the meaning of voters' private signals. Each voter receives noisy signals about both of the states. When the number of voters is sufficiently large, we show the existence of a bad equilibrium in which all voters ignore the signal about the variable, and vote as if one of the variables is true. In the equilibrium, majority voting makes an incorrect decision with a probability that can be sufficiently close to 1.
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