时间一致性和效用加权折现率

O. Mbodji
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引用次数: 0

摘要

贴现率是用来衡量即时满足或效用比延迟满足的偏好的工具。考虑一个经济主体在贴现率不恒定时,其消费效用和最终财富最大化的修正默顿问题。我们要回答的问题是:如果我们允许个人更新他的决策,他会坚持原来的策略还是会改变?我们表明,在某些情况下,代理的策略不断变化,因此他的行为变得时间不一致。我们引入两个概念来解决这种不一致问题。代理可以预先提交,即他不改变他最初的最优策略。他还可以计划自己未来的策略变化,并采用时间一致的策略,也称为子博弈完美策略。我们证明了如果用代理人的效用加权折现率代替其折现率,可以从预承诺策略中得到子博弈的完美策略。最后一个量被证明是一个不动点问题的解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Time Consistency and Utility Weighted Discount Rates
The discount rate is a tool used to measure the preference for immediate gratification or utility over delayed gratification. This paper considers the modified Merton problem of an economic agent maximizing his utility from consumption and final wealth when his discount rate is not constant. The question we answer is the following: if we allow the individual to update his decisions, will he stick to his original strategy or will he switch? We show that there are cases in which the agent's strategy keeps changing thus his behaviour becomes time inconsistent. We introduce two notions to solve this inconsistency problem. The agent can pre commit i.e. he does not change his original optimal strategy. He can also plan for his future changes of strategy and adopt time consistent strategies also known as subgame perfect strategies. We show that the subgame perfect strategy can be obtained from the pre commitment strategy if we replace the agent's discount rate by his utility weighted discount rate. This last quantity is shown to be the solution of a fixed point problem.
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