为Z油田的开发决策定位剩余油和预测分析应用程序

Cristian Masini, Khalid Said Al Shuaili, D. Kuzmichev, Yulia Mironenko, S. Majidaie, R. Buoy, L. Alessio, D. Malakhov, S. Ryzhov, Willem Postuma
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引用次数: 1

摘要

从资源和技术执行的角度来看,当使用传统的静态和动态建模工作流程时,释放现有资产的潜力和有效的生产优化可能是一项具有挑战性的任务,这使得决策过程效率低下且不那么稳健。在未来几年内,一套现代数据处理技术和人工智能技术可能会改变油气田决策过程的模式。本文提出了一种基于预测分析方法和机器学习的创新工作流程,为资产管理和油田优化建立了一种新的方法。基于经典油藏工程与剩余油定位(LTRO)技术的融合,结合智能数据科学和创新的深度学习算法,该工作流程证明,地下资产评估和优化的周转时间可以从几个月缩短到几周。在本文中,我们介绍了在阿曼南部Z油田进行的研究结果,该研究使用了先进的LTRO软件包中的高效ROCM(剩余油兼容映射)工作流程。该研究的目的是对量化的、有风险的剩余油进行评估,并制定油田再开发策略。现有资源评估与产量预测相辅相成。与ROCM相结合的神经网络引擎允许使用预测分析测试各种填充场景。研究结果已经通过三维油藏模拟进行了验证,其中创建了一个动态扇区模型并进行了历史匹配。Z资产面临着许多挑战,因为在过去的25年里,该油田一直由水平井生产商开发。地质挑战与储层高度非均质性有关,再加上高油粘度,导致水指状效应。这些方面使得动态建模具有挑战性和耗时。在本文中,我们详细描述了确定风险剩余油饱和度分布的工作流程要素,以及ROCM的结果,以及利用神经网络预测分析对已钻探的填充性能进行验证的全油田填充开发场景的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Locate the Remaining Oil ltro and Predictive Analytics Application for Development Decisions on the Z Field
Unlocking the potential of existing assets and efficient production optimisation can be a challenging task from resource and technical execution point of view when using traditional static and dynamic modelling workflows making decision-making process inefficient and less robust. A set of modern techniques in data processing and artificial intelligence could change the pattern of decision-making process for oil and gas fields within next few years. This paper presents an innovative workflow based on predictive analytics methods and machine learning to establish a new approach for assets management and fields’ optimisation. Based on the merge between classical reservoir engineering and Locate-the-Remaining-Oil (LTRO) techniques combined with smart data science and innovative deep learning algorithms this workflow proves that turnaround time for subsurface assets evaluation and optimisation could shrink from many months into a few weeks. In this paper we present the results of the study, conducted on the Z field located in the South of Oman, using an efficient ROCM (Remaining Oil Compliant Mapping) workflow within an advanced LTRO software package. The goal of the study was to perform an evaluation of quantified and risked remaining oil for infill drilling and establish a field redevelopment strategy. The resource in place assessment is complemented with production forecast. A neural network engine coupled with ROCM allowed to test various infill scenarios using predictive analytics. Results of the study have been validated against 3D reservoir simulation, whereby a dynamic sector model was created and history matched. Z asset has a number of challenges starting from the fact that for the last 25 years the field has been developed by horizontal producers. The geological challenges are related to the high degree of reservoir heterogeneity which, combined with high oil viscosity, leads to water fingering effects. These aspects are making dynamic modelling challenging and time consuming. In this paper, we describe in details the workflow elements to determine risked remaining oil saturation distribution, along with the results of ROCM and a full-field forecast for infill development scenarios by using neural network predictive analytics validated against drilled infills performance.
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