将天气条件与风力发电坡道事件联系起来

C. Kamath
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引用次数: 64

摘要

随着风能在电网中所占比例的增加,这种能源的间歇性会使发电和负荷平衡变得困难。虽然风速预报是有帮助的,但往往是不准确的。在这种情况下,我们有兴趣为控制室操作员提供额外的相关信息,他们可以利用这些信息做出明智的调度决策。在本文中,我们研究了风电场区域的天气条件是否可以作为可能发生斜坡事件的有效指标。通过使用数据挖掘中的特征选择技术,我们发现一些变量比其他变量更重要,并为具有斜坡事件的天数提供了数据驱动的预测模型的潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Associating weather conditions with ramp events in wind power generation
As the percentage of wind energy on the power grid increases, the intermittent nature of this energy source can make it difficult to keep the generation and the load balanced. While wind speed forecasts can be helpful, they can often be inaccurate. In such cases, we are interested in providing the control room operators additional relevant information they can exploit to make well informed scheduling decisions. In this paper, we investigate if weather conditions in the region of the wind farms can be effective indicators of days when ramp events are likely. Using feature selection techniques from data mining, we show that some variables are more important than others and offer the potential of data-driven predictive models for days with ramp events.
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