亚洲新兴市场资本账户开放与金融稳定

N. Verma
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2008年全球金融危机(GFC)之后,随着增长目标的实现,金融稳定受到了越来越多的关注。资本管制和宏观审慎监管等资本流动措施在提高经济体金融体系弹性方面的作用日益突出。在此背景下,本文利用1980年至2019年七个经济体的年度数据,研究了资本账户开放对亚洲新兴市场金融稳定指标的影响,并对宏观经济基本面进行了控制。本文的方法采用面板数据协整技术以及增广均值群(AMG)估计来控制横截面依赖性、横截面异质性和非平稳性。结果表明,资本账户开放和贸易开放增加了经济中的金融不稳定性,而全球风险表现出好坏参半的结果。以经济规模为代表的国家的经济发展,通过减少金融部门的波动,具有缓解作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capital Account Openness and Financial Stability in Asian Emerging Markets
Post the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008, there has been an increased focus on financial stability along with the growth objectives. The role of capital flow measures like capital controls and macroprudential regulations has gained prominence in increasing the resilience of the financial system of an economy. In this context, this paper examines the ramification of capital account openness on the financial stability indicators with controls for macroeconomic fundamentals, for the Asian Emerging Markets using the annual data of seven economies from 1980 to 2019. The methodology in the paper employs panel data cointegration techniques along with Augmented Mean Group (AMG) estimation to control for cross-sectional dependence, cross-sectional heterogeneity, and nonstationarity. The results indicate that capital account openness and trade openness increase financial instability in the economy while global risk shows mixed results. The economic development of the country, proxied by the size of the economy has a mitigating effect by reducing volatility in the financial sector.
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