利用统计模型研究农业对尼泊尔经济发展的影响

A. Mishra
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引用次数: 1

摘要

影响尼泊尔经济发展的因素有很多,其中一个因素是农业。本文的主要目的是研究尼泊尔的经济增长状况和依赖农业经济增长的统计说明。本文采用定量调查的方法来分析尼泊尔经济增长与农业的关系。这里使用的宏数据基于辅助来源。这些数据来自尼泊尔政府财政部公布的一项经济调查。统计工具,如回归分析,相关性,多重决定系数和调整的决定系数已被使用。在尼泊尔,在过去的15年里,尽管经济增长率较低,但贫困人口显著减少,这意味着如果经济增长率能够提高,减少贫困就会容易得多。在经济增长方面,农业部门对GDP的贡献逐年下降,而非农业部门的贡献逐年增加。2019/2020财年,农业部门对GDP的贡献估计分别为27.7%和72.3%,而2018/2019财年的贡献分别为27.0%和73.0%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Agriculture on Economic Development of Nepal using Statistical Model
Nepal has many factors that influence economic development one of the factors in agriculture. The main objectives of this paper are to examine the status of the economic growth of Nepal and dependency on economic growth in Agriculture illustrating statistically.The quantitative cum survey method is employed here to analyse the relationship between the economic growth of Nepal and Agriculture. The macro data used here are based on a secondary source. The data are taken from an economic survey published by the Ministry of Finance, Government of Nepal.Statistical tools like regression analysis, correlations, the coefficient of multiple determinations and the adjusted coefficient of determination have been employed.In Nepal, over the last fifteen years, poverty has remarkably come down despite lower economic growth meaning that reducing poverty would be much easier if the economic growth rate could be increased. Regarding economic growth contribution of the agriculture sector to GDP is gradually decreasing every year, while that of the non-agriculture sector increasing. The contribution of the agriculture sector to GDP is estimated to stand 27.7% and 72.3% respectively in the FY 2019/2020 while their contribution during FY 2018/2019 was 27.0% and 73.0% respectively.
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