通过结构化整体方法、机器学习和人工智能实现重大卡管事件减少

Y. Salehi, Attia Ziada, Z. Rawahi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

井眼稳定性问题,如卡钻和紧点,是影响钻井作业的最关键风险之一。多年来,中东地区的油气运营商一直面临着卡钻和紧点事件等问题,这些问题对钻井效率、钻井成本和钻井作业的碳足迹都有重大影响。平均而言,作业者每年因卡钻事件和相关打捞作业而损失的非生产时间(NPT)约为200天。由于钻井作业条件的变化,例如不同的岩性、钻井参数、压力、设备、轮班人员和多井设计,因此很难预测井筒稳定性问题。所有这些因素使得仅依靠人为干预的情况下很难缓解卡顿事件的发生。在阿曼石油开发公司(PDO), 2013年至2017年期间,由于卡住事件,我们总共损失了1568天。这相当于平均每年1550万美元的成本,其中包括井中工具损失的成本。2018年,PDO管理层成立了一个跨学科工作组,目的是分析卡住事件,以找到解决方案,每年将卡住事件的成本降低50%。与此同时,PDO决定开发一种人工智能(AI)驱动的工具,利用所有可用的数据(报告、传感器数据、井工程数据、岩性数据等)的广度和深度来预测和预防井筒稳定性问题。该工具被称为“卡钻和紧点事件预测”(STEP)工具,它可以在井计划和井执行阶段告知工程师和钻机人员可能存在的风险,并建议可能的缓解措施,以避免卡钻。该工作组的辛勤和勤奋的工作,以及STEP工具的使用,显著减少了卡钻事件、相关时间、成本、HSE风险和生产延迟。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Significant Stuck Pipe Event Reduction Realized Through Structured Holistic Approach Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence
Wellbore stability problems, such as stuck pipe and tight spots, are one of the most critical risks that affect drilling operations. Over several years, Oil and Gas Operators in the Middle East have been facing problems associated with stuck pipe and tight spot events, which have a major impact on drilling efficiency, well cost, and the carbon footprint of drilling operations. On average, the operator loses around 200 days per year in terms of Non-Productive Time(NPT) on stuck events and associated fishing operations. Wellbore stability problems are hard to predict due to the varying conditions of drilling operations: different lithologies, drilling parameters, pressures, equipment, shifting crews, and multiple well designs. All these factors make the occurrence of stuck events quite hard to mitigate when relying on human intervention only. In Petroleum Development Oman (PDO), we lost, between 2013 and 2017, a total of 1,568 days due to stuck events. This equated to a cost of US$15.5 million/year on average, which included the cost of tools lost in hole. In 2018 PDO's Management formed an interdisciplinary taskforce with the objective of analysing stuck events to find solutions which would reduce the cost of stuck events by 50% per year. At the same time PDO decided to develop an Artificial Intelligence (AI) driven tool that leverages the whole breadth and depth of data (reports, sensor data, well engineering data, lithology data, etc.) available to predict and prevent wellbore stability problems. The tool, known as the "Stuck Pipe & Tight-Spot Event Prediction" (STEP) tool, informs well engineers and rig crews about possible risks, both during the well planning and well execution phase, suggesting possible mitigation measures to avoid getting stuck. The taskforce's hard and diligent work, along with the use of the STEP tool, resulted in a significant reduction in stuck events, associated time, cost, HSE exposure and production deferment.
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