短期负荷预测中的层次神经网络模型

O. Carpinteiro, Agnaldo J. R. Reis, A. P. D. Silva
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引用次数: 87

摘要

针对短期负荷预测问题,提出了一种新的神经网络模型。该神经模型由两个自组织映射网络组成,一个在另一个的上面。它已成功地应用于由前事件给出的上下文信息起主要作用的领域。该模型在巴西电力公司的负荷数据上进行了训练和评估。它被要求每小时预测一次未来24小时内的电力负荷。本文给出了结果并对其进行了评价。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A hierarchical neural model in short-term load forecasting
This paper proposes a novel neural model for the short-term load forecasting problem. The neural model is made up of two self-organizing map nets-one on top of the other. It has been successfully applied to domains in which the context information given by former events plays a primary role. The model was trained and assessed on the load data extracted from a Brazilian electric utility. It was required to predict once every hour the electric load during the next 24 hours. The paper presents the results and evaluates them.
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