结构改革与转型中的增长:一个元分析

Jan Babecký, T. Havránek
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引用次数: 44

摘要

许多国家目前的财政困难加大了进行结构改革的呼声。为了提供过去改革如何运作的事实,我们定量回顾了60项估计改革与增长之间关系的研究。这些研究审查了全世界26个转型国家进行的结构改革。我们的研究结果表明,平均改革在短期内造成了巨大的成本,但对长期增长有很强的积极影响。以对外自由化为重点的改革证明在短期和长期都比其他改革更有益。即使在修正了一些主要研究中的发表偏倚和错误说明后,这些发现仍然成立。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Structural Reforms and Growth in Transition: A Meta-Analysis
The present fiscal difficulties of many countries amplify the call for structural reforms. To provide stylized facts on how reforms worked in the past, we quantitatively review 60 studies estimating the relation between reforms and growth. These studies examine structural reforms carried out in 26 transition countries around the world. Our results show that an average reform caused substantial costs in the short run, but had strong positive effects on long-run growth. Reforms focused on external liberalization proved to be more beneficial than others in both the short and long run. The findings hold even after correction for publication bias and misspecifications present in some primary studies.
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