达喀里亚省奶牛人工授精遗传改良的技术经济评价

Ahmed E.E. Elmowafy
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在埃及,通过基因改良提高国内牛奶产量的重要性源于由于水和农业土地资源限制导致饲料生产有限,导致牛群缺乏水平扩张。达喀利亚是奶牛产奶率第二高的省份,在整个期间(2010-2014年),巴拉迪、杂交和外来品种的平均产奶率分别为1.1、2.8和5吨。因此,本研究旨在研究通过人工授精(AI)对达喀里亚省奶牛进行遗传改良的优点和可行性,以推广遗传改良计划在达喀里亚省和其他省的成功应用;强调通过人工智能投资提高埃及国内牛奶产量和收入的重要性。利用Excel和SPSS软件设计并实现了影响奶牛群产奶量因素的统计分析和数学经济模型;然后,估计额外内部收益率(EIRR)作为一个标准,可行的经济沿整个生产生命的母牛的女儿由有关的父亲的精液人工授精。通过分层随机抽样调查,对2014年达喀利亚省专业投资杂交奶牛的商业养殖场设计并实施了问卷调查,收集了奶牛产奶量和繁殖性能性状数据。结果表明,产犊季节、一年中的哺乳季节和首次产犊年龄的影响在置信水平小于0.10的情况下具有统计学显著性。因此,经济标准表明,最可能的额外内部收益率(EIRR)在小型,中型和大型农场分别为26,31和33%左右。对三种农场规模EIRR的最大负面影响是饲养成本的增加(分别下降约7%、7%和6%),其次是受孕服务数量的增加(EIRR分别下降约6%、6%和5%)。最后,奶牛奶价下降的负面影响(EIRR分别下降约4%、3%和3%)。总体而言,利用人工智能对达喀里亚省奶牛进行遗传改良投资的可行性较高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Techno-Economics Assessment of Genetic Improvement via Artificial Insemination in Dairy Cattle in Dakahlia Governorate
In Egypt, the importance of increasing the domestic production of milk via genetic improvement stems from the lack of horizontal expansion in cattle population due to the limited feeds production because of water and agricultural land resources constraints. Dakahlia is the second highest governorate for rates of cattle milk productivity, estimated by 1.1, 2.8 and 5 t head–1 for Baladi, hybrid and foreign breed respectively in the average overall the period (2010-2014). Therefore, this research aims to study the merits and the feasibility of genetic Improvement via the Artificial Insemination (AI) in dairy cattle in Dakahlia governorate to extend the successful applying of genetic improvement program in this governorate and the other governorates; as a stress on the importance of increasing the domestic production and the income of dairy milk in Egypt through investments in AI. A statistical analysis and mathematical economic model were designed and implemented by using Excel and SPSS programs software to study some factors affecting milk production of dairy cattle herds; then, estimates the Extra Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) as a criterion of the feasible economic along the full productive life of the daughter of the cow served by AI of the concerned sire’s semen. The data of the cow milk productive and reproductive performance traits were collected from the questionnaire has designed and implemented through a stratified random sample survey of the commercial farms are specialized in the investment of hybrid dairy cattle in Dakahlia governorate in the year 2014. The results showed the effects of every order of the season of calving, the lactation season in the year and the age at the first calving are statistically significant at the confidence level less than 0.10. As, the economic criterions indicate the most probable Extra Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) is around 26, 31 and 33% for small, medium and large farm scale, respectively. The highest negative effect on EIRR for the three farm scales is the increase of feeding costs (It drops by about 7, 7 and 6%), followed by the negative effect of the increase of number of services for conception (EIRR decreases by around 6, 6 and 5%). Lastly, the negative effect of the decrease of dairy cow milk price (EIRR diminishes by about 4, 3 and 3%). Generally, the genetic improvement investment via AI in dairy cattle in Dakahlia governorate is high feasible.
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