基于相关性研究的道路交通预测改进方法

Redouane Benabdallah Benarmas, Kadda Beghdad Bey
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市道路网络的交通控制和管理随着汽车数量和路段数量的成倍增长而变得更加复杂。为了满足日益增长的准确交通预测需求,在进行预测计算之前,有必要对路段之间的关系进行研究。相关理论已经得到很好的发展,为理解多变量模型(MV)中时间序列的相关性提供了更好的解释。本文提出了基于Pearson系数的交叉相关计算来检测MVTS建模的大规模道路网络中交通段之间的依赖关系,在这个阶段,依赖关系提取允许限制仅使用与待预测目标点相关的点收集的数据。在我们的研究中,我们使用了北京最拥挤的第6环路。结果以散点图的形式解释。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Improving Road Traffic Prediction By using Dependencies Study: Cross-Correlation based Approach
Traffic control and management on a urban road network become more complex face to exponential growth in the volume of cars and road segments. To meet the growing demand of accurate traffic prediction, the study of relationship between road segments is necessary before prediction calculation. Correlation theory has been well developed to provide a better interpretation of dependency for understanding how Time series are related in multivariate model(MV). Pearson Coefficients based Cross-Correlation calculation is proposed to detect dependency between traffic segments in large scale road network modeled by MVTS, at this stage, dependency extraction allows to limit the use of only data collected from points related to a target point to be predicted, For our study we use a 6th road ring as most crowded area of Beijing. An interpretation of results are provided as Scatter-plot.
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