Xin-Yi Li, Pei-Nan Zhong, Dingquan Chen, Yubin Yang
{"title":"核心:协变量引导表示法增强的可转移长期时间序列预测","authors":"Xin-Yi Li, Pei-Nan Zhong, Dingquan Chen, Yubin Yang","doi":"10.1109/ICASSP49357.2023.10096231","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In recent years, long-range time series forecasting has been actively studied and has shown promising results. However, since these methods mainly focus on predicting time series with a fixed dimension, they are inapplicable to the large-scale and ever-changing datasets that are common in real-world applications. Additionally, existing methods only take a window of the near past as input, which prevents the models from learning persistent historical patterns. To tackle these problems, we propose CoRe, a novel transferable long-term forecasting method enhanced by Covariates-guided Representation. By encoding the input series into a dense vector, CoRe is able to extract instance-wise global features. Specifically, the representation is learned by modeling the correlation between the target series and constructed auxiliary covariates, which is implemented by our proposed cross-dependency network. Comprehensive experiments on six real-world datasets show that CoRe achieves overall state-of-the-art results and can transfer to unseen data with stable performance.","PeriodicalId":113072,"journal":{"name":"ICASSP 2023 - 2023 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP)","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Core: Transferable Long-Range Time Series Forecasting Enhanced by Covariates-Guided Representation\",\"authors\":\"Xin-Yi Li, Pei-Nan Zhong, Dingquan Chen, Yubin Yang\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICASSP49357.2023.10096231\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In recent years, long-range time series forecasting has been actively studied and has shown promising results. However, since these methods mainly focus on predicting time series with a fixed dimension, they are inapplicable to the large-scale and ever-changing datasets that are common in real-world applications. Additionally, existing methods only take a window of the near past as input, which prevents the models from learning persistent historical patterns. To tackle these problems, we propose CoRe, a novel transferable long-term forecasting method enhanced by Covariates-guided Representation. By encoding the input series into a dense vector, CoRe is able to extract instance-wise global features. Specifically, the representation is learned by modeling the correlation between the target series and constructed auxiliary covariates, which is implemented by our proposed cross-dependency network. Comprehensive experiments on six real-world datasets show that CoRe achieves overall state-of-the-art results and can transfer to unseen data with stable performance.\",\"PeriodicalId\":113072,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ICASSP 2023 - 2023 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP)\",\"volume\":\"13 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ICASSP 2023 - 2023 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICASSP49357.2023.10096231\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ICASSP 2023 - 2023 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICASSP49357.2023.10096231","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Core: Transferable Long-Range Time Series Forecasting Enhanced by Covariates-Guided Representation
In recent years, long-range time series forecasting has been actively studied and has shown promising results. However, since these methods mainly focus on predicting time series with a fixed dimension, they are inapplicable to the large-scale and ever-changing datasets that are common in real-world applications. Additionally, existing methods only take a window of the near past as input, which prevents the models from learning persistent historical patterns. To tackle these problems, we propose CoRe, a novel transferable long-term forecasting method enhanced by Covariates-guided Representation. By encoding the input series into a dense vector, CoRe is able to extract instance-wise global features. Specifically, the representation is learned by modeling the correlation between the target series and constructed auxiliary covariates, which is implemented by our proposed cross-dependency network. Comprehensive experiments on six real-world datasets show that CoRe achieves overall state-of-the-art results and can transfer to unseen data with stable performance.