芬兰南部森林保护公民支付意愿的条件评估与选择实验

E. Haltia
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引用次数: 3

摘要

环境质量直接影响到公民的福祉。为了量化这种影响,本文的四篇文章使用条件评估(CV)和选择实验(CE)方法分析了芬兰公民为增加森林保护而支付的意愿(WTP)。这些方法以新古典福利经济学为基础,辅以源自心理学和行为经济学的选择过程框架。使用CV方法,我们分析了WTP如何受到受访者的不确定性,非受访者的份额以及在家庭最高建议成本下相当高的“是”回答份额的影响。利用CE数据研究了不同保护方案特征对WTP的影响。结果显示,芬兰公民支持加强森林保护。条件评估中的WTP中值为72欧元,即如果每户成本不超过72欧元,50%的受访者支持增加节约。平均WTP估计对建模假设和有关非被调查者偏好的假设很敏感。这强调了当结果用于福利衡量和政策规划时,需要仔细的敏感性分析。受访者在评估问题中的选择受到家庭节约成本和其他社会经济特征的影响。结果表明,评估任务的选择受到经济和心理因素的影响。该研究对选择行为和WTP的下界和上界估计提供了重要见解。这些估计略低于芬兰早期可比研究的估计。在个人简历中,受访者似乎对计划规模不敏感,而建议项目的范围对行政长官的选择有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Contingent valuation and choice experiment of citizens' willingness to pay for forest conservation in southern Finland
Environmental quality has a direct effect on citizens’ welfare. To quantify this effect, the four articles of this thesis analyse Finnish citizens’ willingness to pay (WTP) for increased forest conservation using the contingent valuation (CV) and choice experiment (CE) methods. These methods are based on neo-classical welfare economics augmented with the choice process framework originating from psychology and behavioural economics. Using the CV method, we analyse how WTP is affected by respondents’ uncertainty, by the share of nonrespondents and by the considerably high share of “yes” responses at the highest proposed costs to households. The CE data are used to study the effects of different conservation programme characteristics on WTP. The results show that Finnish citizens support increased forest conservation. The median WTP in the contingent valuation was 72 EUR, i.e. 50% of respondents supported increased conservation if the costs per household did not exceed 72 EUR. The mean WTP estimates were sensitive to modelling assumptions and assumptions concerning the nonrespondent preferences. This emphasises the need for careful sensitivity analyses when results are used for welfare measurement and policy planning. Respondents’ choices in the valuation questions were affected by the household costs of conservation and other socioeconomic characteristics. The results suggest that the choices in valuation tasks are affected by economic and psychological factors. The study gives important insights into the choice behaviour and lower and upper bound estimates of WTP. These estimates are somewhat lower than those in comparable earlier Finnish studies. In CV, respondents seemed insensitive to programme size while the extent of the proposed project had a significant effect on the choices in CE.
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