分析土耳其政党立场和选举动态

A. C. Kumbaracıbaşı
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文考察了土耳其2015年6月和11月的大选——土耳其向总统制过渡之前的最后一次选举——重点关注选举前的政治环境、两次选举之间的联盟协议和潜在的联盟方案,以及11月选举的后果。分析分为两部分:第一部分研究土耳其选举政治的背景,以及政党的政策维度多年来是如何变化或稳定的,涵盖了联盟潜力、政党适应性和生存的概念。第二部分研究了土耳其的选举地理,投票模式的变化,战略投票和2015年的数字差异。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analyzing Party Positions and Electoral Dynamics in Turkey
This article examines the June and November 2015 general elections in Turkey – the final elections before Turkey’s transition into a presidential system – focusing on the political environment leading up to the elections, the coalition deals and potential coalition scenarios between the two elections and the aftermath of the November elections. The analysis is two-fold: first section looks into the background of electoral politics in Turkey and how policy dimensions of parties changed or stabilized over the years, covering the concepts of coalition potential, party adaptability and survival. The second section looks into electoral geography in Turkey, changes in voting patterns, strategic voting and the discrepancies in numbers in 2015.
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