Olivier Fortin-Gagnon, Maxime Leroux, Dalibor Stevanovic, Stéphane Surprenant
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A large Canadian database for macroeconomic analysis
This paper provides a large-scale Canadian macroeconomic database and shows its usefulness for empirical macroeconomic analysis. The data set contains hundreds of Canadian and provincial economic indicators. It is designed to be updated regularly and real-time vintages are publicly available. It relieves users to deal with data changes and methodological revisions. We show four useful features of this data set for macroeconomic research. First, the factor structure explains a sizeable part of the variation of the data set and appears as an appropriate means of dimension reduction. Second, the data set is useful to capture turning points of the Canadian business cycle. Third, it has substantial predictive power when forecasting key macroeconomic indicators. Fourth, the richness of the panel is used to study the effectiveness of monetary policy across regions and sectors.
期刊介绍:
The Canadian Journal of Economics (CJE) is the journal of the Canadian Economics Association (CEA) and is the primary academic economics journal based in Canada. The editors seek to maintain and enhance the position of the CJE as a major, internationally recognized journal and are very receptive to high-quality papers on any economics topic from any source. In addition, the editors recognize the Journal"s role as an important outlet for high-quality empirical papers about the Canadian economy and about Canadian policy issues.