基于蒙特卡罗仿真模型的美式期权定价仿真分析

Yu Zhao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于美式期权一般没有解析解,其定价一直是理论界和业界的热点问题。美式期权在所有权方面一直占据着市场的主导地位,因为它给予了购买者更大的交易自由,但其早期可交易的特点使得其定价难以模拟,传统方法的适应性和准确性也不够,无法有效应用于对美式期权变量和参数的多种实际环境要求。近年来,随着期权定价理论的发展,出现了一些基于蒙特卡罗模拟方法的美式期权定价方法。为了解决逆向替代的低效率问题,本文提出了一种蒙特卡罗方法来提高定价效率。在此基础上,本文首先对蒙特卡罗模型的特点和仿真方法进行了深入分析,特别针对模型存在的不足,给出了减小模型方差的策略。其次,设计了期权定价随机过程的优化策略和优化步骤,并从美式期权的重要抽样仿真和分层抽样仿真两方面分析了变量控制策略。最后,基于多组期权数据验证了蒙特卡罗模型的有效性,并在美式期权定价仿真中进一步比较了优化前后模型的差异。本文的研究结果表明,蒙特卡罗仿真模型的融合可以极大地改善美式期权的定价。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulation Analysis of American Style Option Pricing Incorporating Monte Carlo Simulation Models
Because American options generally do not have analytical solutions, their pricing has always been a hot issue in the theoretical and industry circles. American options have always dominated the market in terms of ownership because they give buyers more freedom to trade, but their early tradable characteristics make it difficult to simulate their pricing, and traditional methods are not adaptable and accurate enough to be effectively applied to multiple Actual environmental requirements for American-style options for variables and parameters. In recent years, with the development of option pricing theory, some American options pricing methods based on Monte Carlo simulation method have appeared. To solve the problem of inefficiency of reverse substitution, this paper proposes a Monte Carlo method to improve the efficiency of pricing. Based on this, this paper firstly analyzes the characteristics and simulation methods of the Monte Carlo model in depth, especially for the shortcomings of the model, and gives a strategy to reduce its variance. Secondly, the optimization strategy and optimization steps of the stochastic process of option pricing are designed, and the variable control strategy is analyzed from the importance sampling simulation and stratified sampling simulation of American options. Finally, this paper verifies the effectiveness of the Monte Carlo model based on multiple sets of option data, and further compares the differences between the models before and after optimization in the American option pricing simulation. The results of this paper show that the fusion of the Monte Carlo simulation model can greatly improve the pricing of American options.
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