基于机器学习的可行广义最小二乘

Steve Miller, R. Startz
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引用次数: 27

摘要

在存在异方差误差的情况下,使用可行广义最小二乘(FGLS)的回归比普通最小二乘(OLS)提供了潜在的效率增益。然而,FGLS的采用仍然有限,部分原因是异方差的形式可能被错误指定。我们研究了机器学习方法来解决这个问题,重点是支持向量回归。蒙特卡罗结果表明,与具有异方差一致(HC3)标准误差的OLS相比,所得到的估计器和伴随的标准误差校正大大提高了精度、名义覆盖率和更短的置信区间。当异方差的形式已知时,均方根误差的减小超过90%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Feasible Generalized Least Squares Using Machine Learning
In the presence of heteroskedastic errors, regression using Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) offers potential efficiency gains over Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). However, FGLS adoption remains limited, in part because the form of heteroskedasticity may be misspecified. We investigate machine learning methods to address this concern, focusing on Support Vector Regression. Monte Carlo results indicate the resulting estimator and an accompanying standard error correction offer substantially improved precision, nominal coverage rates, and shorter confidence intervals than OLS with heteroskedasticity-consistent (HC3) standard errors. Reductions in root mean squared error are over 90% of those achievable when the form of heteroskedasticity is known.
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